College Football Playoff Odds 2025-26: Ohio State, Texas, Oregon, Georgia Lead the Way
Entering the second year of the 12-team College Football Playoff, the format has already been shaken up, with the CFP adopting a new straight seeding model. The new seeding should benefit the Big Ten and SEC, which dominate the College Football Playoff odds.
The Big Ten and SEC account for 12 of the 15 programs that sit atop the College Football Playoff odds, with Ohio State and Texas, the co-favorites according to the college football championship odds, being the biggest favorites to make the CFP.
📊 College Football Playoff odds 2025-26
2025-26 College Football Playoff odds via FanDuel.
- Ohio State, -325 ($10 to win $3.08)
- Texas, -300 ($10 to win $3.33)
- Oregon, -260 ($10 to win $3.85)
- Georgia, -250 ($10 to win $4)
- Penn State, -235 ($10 to win $4.26)
- Alabama, -150 ($10 to win $6.67)
- Notre Dame, -150 ($10 to win $6.67)
- Clemson, -128 ($10 to win $7.81)
- LSU, +136 ($10 to win $13.60)
- Ole Miss, +142 ($10 to win $14.20)
- Boise State, +194 ($10 to win $19.40)
- Miami, +210 ($10 to win $21)
- Michigan, +220 ($10 to win $22)
- Tennessee, +225 ($10 to win $22.50)
- Texas A&M, +245 ($10 to win $24.50)
🤖 College Football Playoff AI prediction
For entertainment purposes, we asked ChatGPT, a popular large language model chatbot, to analyze historical trends and college football stats before predicting this year's College Football Playoff field. Our AI prediction projects seven of the 12 CFP teams to hail from the Big Ten or SEC.
🖥️ AI College Football Playoff bracket projection
| Seed | Team | First round matchup |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Bye |
| 2 | Georgia | Bye |
| 3 | Texas | Bye |
| 4 | Oregon | Bye |
| 5 | Clemson | vs. Arizona State |
| 6 | Alabama | vs. SMU |
| 7 | Penn State | vs. Boise State |
| 8 | Notre Dame | vs. LSU |
| 9 | LSU | vs. Notre Dame |
| 10 | Boise State | vs. Penn State |
| 11 | SMU | vs. Alabama |
| 12 | Arizona State | vs. Clemson |
🗓️ College Football Playoff key dates
| Round | Date (time) | Location | How to watch |
|---|---|---|---|
| First round | Friday, Dec. 19 (TBA) | TBD (campus site) | TBA |
| First round | Saturday, Dec. 20 (TBA) | TBD (campus site) | TBA |
| First round | Saturday, Dec. 20 (TBA) | TBD (campus site) | TBA |
| First round | Saturday, Dec. 20 (TBA) | TBD (campus site) | TBA |
| Quarterfinal | Wednesday, Dec. 31 (7:30 p.m. ET) | Cotton Bowl (AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas) | ESPN |
| Quarterfinal | Thursday, Jan. 1 (noon ET) | Orange Bowl (Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla.) | ESPN |
| Quarterfinal | Thursday, Jan. 1 (4 p.m. ET) | Rose Bowl Game (Rose Bowl Stadium in Pasadena, Calif.) | ESPN |
| Quarterfinal | Thursday, Jan. 1 (8 p.m. ET) | Sugar Bowl (Caesars Superdome in New Orleans) | ESPN |
| Semifinal | Thursday, Jan. 8 (7:30 p.m. ET) | Fiesta Bowl (State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz.) | ESPN |
| Semifinal | Friday, Jan. 9 (7:30 p.m. ET) | Peach Bowl (Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta) | ESPN |
| CFP National Championship | Monday, Jan. 19 (7:30 p.m. ET) | Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, Fla.) | ESPN |
🔢 College Football Playoff opening odds
Odds via FanDuel.
- Ohio State (-325)
- Texas (-300)
- Oregon (-260)
- Georgia (-250)
- Penn State (-235)
- Alabama (-150)
- Notre Dame (-150)
- Clemson (-128)
- LSU (+136)
- Ole Miss (+142)
- Boise State (+194)
- Miami (+210)
- Michigan (+220)
- Tennessee (+225)
- Texas A&M (+245)
- Louisville (+350)
- SMU (+370)
- Auburn (+390)
- South Carolina (+410)
- Florida (+430)
- Arizona State (+440)
- Kansas State (+470)
- Texas Tech (+490)
- Oklahoma (+540)
- Baylor (+570)
- Missouri (+590)
- USC (+590)
- Utah (+590)
- Indiana (+630)
📋 Last year's College Football Playoff seeding
Seeding via the final College Football Playoff rankings.
| Seed | Team | Record | Selection |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oregon | 13-0 | Big Ten Champion |
| 2 | Georgia | 11-2 | SEC Champion |
| 3 | Boise State | 12-1 | MWC Champion |
| 4 | Arizona State | 11-2 | Big 12 Champion |
| 5 | Texas | 11-2 | At-large |
| 6 | Penn State | 11-2 | At-large |
| 7 | Notre Dame | 11-1 | At-large |
| 8 | Ohio State | 10-2 | At-large |
| 9 | Tennessee | 10-2 | At-large |
| 10 | Indiana | 11-1 | At-large |
| 11 | SMU | 11-2 | At-large |
| 12 | Clemson | 10-3 | ACC Champion |
❓ College Football Playoff FAQs
Which teams have the shortest College Football Playoff odds?
Ohio State (-325), Texas (-300), Oregon (-260), and Georgia (-250) have the shortest College Football Playoff odds. Their odds imply they all have better than a 71% probability of making the CFP.
Who is the CFP national championship favorite?
Ohio State and Texas are co-favorites by the college football championship odds. Their odds (+600) imply a 14.29% probability they'll win it all, according to our odds calculator.
How many teams make the College Football Playoff?
The College Football Playoff expanded to 12 teams last season, with the top five ranked conference champions automatically qualifying for the CFP. The College Football Playoff selection committee decides the remaining seven at-large bids.
The top four seeds will receive a first-round bye in the playoff.
Who made the College Football Playoff last year?
Oregon, Georgia, Boise State, Arizona State, Texas, Penn State, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Tennessee, Indiana, SMU, and Clemson were the programs selected to participate in the inaugural 12-team College Football Playoff.
When does the College Football Playoff start?
The 2025-2026 College Football Playoff begins Friday, Dec. 19, with the first of four first-round games; the other three will be played Saturday, Dec. 20. The quarterfinal games will then be played on Wednesday, Dec. 31, and Thursday, Jan. 1.
The semifinal games will be Thursday, Jan. 8, and Friday, Jan. 9, with the championship game slated for Monday, Jan. 19, at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla.
🏈 College football odds pages
| CFP National Championship Odds | SEC Odds | Big 12 Odds | Bowl Season Odds & Info |
| Heisman Trophy Odds | Big Ten Odds | Pac-12 Odds | |
| College Football Playoff Odds | Mountain West Odds | ACC Odds |
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