Cy Young Odds & Favorites 2025: Skenes Begins to Storm Away as Favorite
After winning the Triple Crown and capturing pitching's most prized award, Tarik Skubal is on top again this year by the latest AL Cy Young odds, while Paul Skenes has begun to storm away in the NL.
- Boston Red Sox ace Garrett Crochet overtook Skubal as the favorite early in the season, but he's now fifth on the oddsboard
- BetMGM is reporting that Skubal has received more than 23% of the betting handle in this market, making him the public's favorite to win
- In the NL, the gap is growing at the top, with Skenes emerging as the standalone favorite
- However, it's Yoshinobu Yamamoto receiving the biggest bulk of the betting handle at BetMGM, though Skenes and Zack Wheeler are both in double digits, too. That shows us how competitive this race is between those three
Be sure to read on for our best AI Cy Young predictions!
🔢 American League Cy Young odds 2025
Live odds for the 2025 AL Cy Young from our best MLB betting sites.
🔢 National League Cy Young odds 2025
Live odds for the 2025 NL Cy Young from our best sports betting apps.
🤖 AI prediction for Cy Young
For entertainment purposes, we asked ChatGPT to analyze AL Cy Young trends and the current landscape to project this year's AL Cy Young Award winner. ChatGPT is not recommended for betting advice but can provide additional information and insights into the betting market.
🏆 American League Cy Young
Tarik Skubal (Tigers)
- Odds: Around –180 to –200
- Performance: Elite ERA, FIP, strikeout rate, walk rate, and his average fastball is hovering around 97.7 mph
- Trend: After winning in 2024, he's reinforcing that dominance, with sustained improvements making him the front-runner for arepeat
Value contenders
- Hunter Brown (Astros): +700 to +850, quietly effective - 2.71 ERA late last year, excellent sinker inducing grounders
- Max Fried (Yankees) & Garrett Crochet (Red Sox): Fried sitting around +800 while Crochet is +1200. Crochet briefly led markets early before Skubal reclaimed; Fried holds ~9–13% handle share
- Carlos Rodon (Yankees): Long shot at +3000 to +4000, but his strikeout rate (~11 K/9) makes him intriguing for value betting
⚾ National League Cy Young
Paul Skenes (Pirates)
- Odds: Around –165 to –185 on average
- Performance & stats: Starred as NL Rookie of the Year, posting ~1.96 ERA, ~170 Ks, solid reliability
- Trend: Considered chalk with strong pick percentages; but injury durability over a full season is a key risk
Other NL names
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto (Dodgers): +340 to +550; stellar ERA (~0.90 early), high K/9, durability concerns after heavy innings in Japan
- Zack Wheeler (Phillies): +700 to +1100; perennial top-tier candidate
- Logan Webb (Giants) & Chris Sale (Braves): +1800; steady veterans; Sale full-season bounce-back potential
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): A rising underdog with elite K/9 (~12.9) and ERA around 3.00 — receiving buzz but +3500 is long shot
💡 Betting strategy insights
- Chalk repeats: Front-runners like Skubal and Skenes are safe plays, but returns are limited.
- Mid-tier value: AL candidates Brown, Crochet, Fried offer balance between risk & upside.
- High-upside picks: Rodon; great risk-reward. Yamamoto; talent vs. innings risk. Gore; strikeout dominance, small bet could pay big.
🗠 MLB Cy Young opening odds
Odds as of March 2025.
| American League | Odds | National League | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Crochet | +350 | Paul Skenes | +210 |
| Tarik Skubal | +350 | Zack Wheeler | +700 |
| Cole Ragans | +900 | Blake Snell | +1000 |
| Logan Gilbert | +1000 | Chris Sale | +1400 |
| Jacob deGrom | +1200 | Corbin Burnes | +1600 |
| Pablo Lopez | +1800 | Spencer Strider | +1800 |
| Framber Valdez | +2000 | Cristopher Sanchez | +2000 |
| Hunter Brown | +2000 | Sandy Alcantara | +2000 |
| Max Fried | +2500 | Tyler Glasnow | +2000 |
| Bryan Woo | +3500 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | +2000 |
📜 AL Cy Young betting history
| Year | Player | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Tarik Skubal | Detroit Tigers | +1000 |
| 2023 | Gerrit Cole | New York Yankees | +700 |
| 2022 | Justin Verlander | Houston Astros | +2000 |
| 2021 | Robbie Ray | Toronto Blue Jays | N/A |
| 2020 | Shane Bieber | Cleveland Guardians | +900 |
| 2019 | Justin Verlander | Houston Astros | +1500 |
| 2018 | Blake Snell | Tampa Bay Rays | +10000 |
| 2017 | Corey Kluber | Cleveland Guardians | +400 |
| 2016 | Rick Porcello | Boston Red Sox | +20000 |
| 2015 | Dallas Keuchel | Houston Astros | +15000 |
📜 NL Cy Young betting history
| Year | Player | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves | +3000 |
| 2023 | Blake Snell | San Diego Padres | +3500 |
| 2022 | Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins | +600 |
| 2021 | Corbin Burnes | Milwaukee Brewers | +3500 |
| 2020 | Trevor Bauer | Cincinnati Reds | +2500 |
| 2019 | Jacob deGrom | New York Mets | +350 |
| 2018 | Jacob deGrom | New York Mets | +2500 |
| 2017 | Max Scherzer | Washington Nationals | +350 |
| 2016 | Max Scherzer | Washington Nationals | +1000 |
| 2015 | Jake Arrieta | Chicago Cubs | +4000 |
❓ MLB Cy Young FAQs
Who are the Cy Young award odds favorites?
Paul Skenes is the Cy Young odds favorite in the NL, while Tarik Skubal holds the top spot in the AL.
Who won the Cy Young awards last year?
Tarik Skubal of the Detroit Tigers won the American League Cy Young award in 2024.
Atlanta Braves southpaw Chris Sale took home the award for the National League.
When will the Cy Young winners be announced?
The 2024 Cy Young Award winners were announced on Wednesday, Nov. 20.
How does Cy Young voting work?
The Cy Young awards are given out based on the voting from members of the Baseball Writers' Association of America. Writers from NL cities vote for the NL Cy Young, and the same is true for AL writers. In total, there are 30 votes tied to each award, with one representative from each team.
Writers submit their ballots before the beginning of the posteason. They rank their top-five selections, and points are given in descending order (first place gets seven points, second place gets four, third place gets three, fourth place gets two, and fifth place gets one). The player with the most points wins. In the event of a tie, the award is shared.
Who has won the most Cy Young awards?
Roger Clemens, seven, won more Cy Young awards than any other pitcher in MLB history. Randy Johnson, five, is second on the all-time list.
🏟️ MLB betting odds pages
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